Working Paper

Blue Carbon Crediting for Indonesian Mangroves: Permanence, Tenure and Feasibility

Adi Nugroho & Maya Kusuma

2025CCSF Working Paper 2025/07Forest Conservation & Fiscal Transfers

Abstract

Mangrove restoration is frequently proposed as a high-integrity source of carbon credits. We assess feasibility under Indonesian conditions, focusing on three constraints rarely addressed in methodology documents: overlapping tenure claims in coastal zones, permanence risk under aquaculture price cycles, and the working-capital gap between restoration cost and first credit issuance.